Monday, June 9, 2008

AL Power Rankings, Week 7

One more week is in the books. Mexico City, Kansas City and Washington DC all made a big push this week, Iowa City managed to get things turned around, and the race for the AL East got a little more interesting. It's quite possible that this time next week, one or more teams will have locked up their playoff spots.

1 Oklahoma City Chickens


Last Week: #1
Record: 83-42 (10-6 this week)
Expected Win %: .678
Playoff Prognosis: In. They're 3 up on Madison for the #1 overall seed, but actually lost two games of ground to surging Mexico City this week. They're going to be in the playoffs, the only question now is whether they'll be the #1, #2, or #5 (top wild card) seed.
Magic number to clinch the division: 31
Magic number to clinch a playoff berth: 19

2 Madison Massas


Last Week: #2
Record: 73-36 (7-11 this week)
Expected Win %: .597
Playoff Prognosis: In. They should officially clinch a playoff berth sometime early next week.
Magic number to clinch the division: 26
Magic number to clinch a playoff berth: 22

3 Mexico City Reds


Last Week: #3
Record: 76-49 (12-4 this week)
Expected Win %: .584
Playoff Prognosis: Pretty much in after a spectacular week. They're 12 games up on the seventh-seeded team and would basically need to implode to miss the playoffs. Took 20 games off their magic number in just 16 games this week.
Magic number to clinch a playoff berth: 26

4 New York Bombers


Last Week: #4
Record: 68-57 (6-10 this week)
Expected Win %: .538
Playoff Prognosis: A bad week shaved a couple games off of their wildcard lead. It's now down to four games, from six a week ago. They can't afford another week of .375 baseball.
Magic number to clinch a playoff berth: 35

5 Kansas City McCoys


Last Week: #5
Record: 67-58 (11-5 this week)
Expected Win %: .578
Playoff Prognosis: Monumentally better than a week ago. They've gone from a one-game lead to a seven-game lead in the division in the span of a week, and shaved 22 games off their magic number.
Magic number to clinch the division: 32

6 Boston Badasses


Last Week: #6
Record: 65-60 (8-8 this week)
Expected Win %: .496
Playoff Prognosis: Lost one game in the divisional race, just three games up on Iowa now. If it came down to the Wild Card, they would likely be out. Three games back of the Bombers in that category. If they play poorly enough to lose the division, they're probably not going to catch NY. More than likely, they'll either win the division or miss the playoffs entirely.
Magic number to clinch the division: 35

7 San Juan Senators


Last Week: #8
Record: 64-61 (8-8 this week)
Expected Win %: .519
Playoff Prognosis: Continuing to basically tread water. They're four games back of the NY Bombers for the second wild card spot.

8 Chicago Bearcubs

Last Week: #7
Record: 62-63 (6-10 this week)
Expected Win %: .522
Playoff Prognosis: Bad week cost them a lot of ground in the wild card race. They're now six games back of the Bombers for the last playoff spot, tied with Iowa and behind San Juan.

9 Iowa City Eyesores


Last Week: #10
Record: 62-63 (9-7 this week)
Expected Win %: .438
Playoff Prognosis: Still very much alive, only three games back of Boston. This was an exceptional week for them, as they not only stopped the bleeding of a long string of losing streaks, but also unloaded the atrocious contract of "The Albatross" Vinny Hernandez.

10 Washington DC Old School Warriors



Last Week: #13
Record: 60-65 (10-6 this week)
Expected Win %: .457
Playoff Prognosis: Cut divisional deficit from 10 games to 5 this week. Suddenly a very legitimate threat.

11 Las Vegas Gamble


Last Week: #10
Record: 60-65 (5-11 this week)
Expected Win %: .501
Playoff Prognosis: Terrible week set them way back in the divisional race. Now they need to put together a very strong week to get back into contention.

12 Wichita Sizzlers


Last Week: #11
Record: 59-66 (8-8 this week)
Expected Win %: .525
Playoff Prognosis: Fell three games further back of Kansas City this week. Still alive, but rapidly burning through their margin for error.

13 San Jose Snakes


Last Week: #12
Record: 59-66 (8-8 this week)
Expected Win %: .479
Playoff Prognosis: Lost three games of ground in the division to Kansas City this week. They're starting to get into must-win territory where they can't afford to drop 2-of-3 in a series any more.

14 Durham Bulls


Last Week: #14
Record: 52-73 (5-11 this week)
Expected Win %: .417
Playoff Prognosis: They were basically dead a week ago, and after a 5-11 week, they're really done now.

15 St. Louis Stampede


Last Week: #16
Record: 46-79 (10-6 this week)
Expected Win %: .382
Playoff Prognosis: Deader than disco, but the team is looking better of late. Just in time to cost themselves draft position.

16 Philadelphia Hellraisers


Last Week: #15
Record: 43-82 (5-11 this week)
Expected Win %: .328
Playoff Prognosis: Out of the race for months. Have now over-taken St. Louis in the race for the #1 pick.

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