Thursday, September 25, 2008

Division Championships Round 2 Predictions

So I got all the 1st round Predictions wrong. Good Lets try again.

2 Oklahoma City vs. 5 Monterrey

Head to Head record 6-4 Oklahoma City Advantage

ADVANTAGE

NOTE

STARTING PITCHING

OKLAHOMA

Oklahoma doesn't win games directly because of their pitching, but they don't hurt themselves either. Arnold is a premier starter and Parker has been solid in his stint. Lee is struggling through a tough season, but still they are good enough to get the job done. Monterrey's staff is a bit wild, but when they are on they will command a game allow their team to compete.

HITTING

OKLAHOMA

Monterrey faces another tough lineup. This one features Donnie DuBose, Ken Gibbs, and Don Perry. Monterrey pitching will have its work cut out. On the opposite side. Monterrey has been very aggressive on the bases and has a fearsome twosome in Frazier and Taylor.

FIELDING

MONTERREY

Monterrey has been sweet in the field during the regular season, but postseason jitters might have shaken them a bit, as they have already committed 4 errors. OC struggles at times in the field and ranks near the bottom in fielding percentage, lead by rookie Jose Parks poor play at SS.

BULLPEN

OKLAHOMA

Chicken's Closer Mitch Matthews is being considered for the Cy Young. He is dominant and will be hard to beat if he has the lead. To even get to him you would still have to get by Vargas and Mendozza who both eat a ton of innings and are wildly successful. Monterrey's Closer might be overmatched at times and he will get little help from the rest of the pen who struggle to limit hits.

BENCH

MONTERREY

The Chicken's Bench features a good couple bats and a little defensive presence. The Aceros feature their defense first approach. If it comes down to the close games the Aceros will be better off, but the top scoring Offense in the league will not be looking to let that be a factor

EXPERIENCE

OKLAHOMA

Edric has not finished out of 1st in 5 seasons; While Jellyd is in his 1st season. Player wise OC has playoff experience on almost the whole team. Monterrey is playing with fresh faces.

INTANGABLES

OKLAHOMA

Monterrey is coming off the biggest upset in the playoffs so far. They have the talent to burn anyone in the short- term, but the Chickens took the season series and swept the last 3 games.

Prediction: Oklahoma in 4

Next up Winner of NY/ Madison


2 Cincinnati vs. 3 Florida

Head to Head record 9-1 Florida

ADVANTAGE

NOTE

STARTING PITCHING

CINCINNATI

A 3 man tandem is Cincinnati's weapon of choice. They have ace starters to pull it off. Alex Wang and Clarence Patrick are absolute studs and will give Florida fits. Florida is more traditional in its approach Charlton, Day and Maurer can hold their own in this series but do have the uphill battle.

HITTING

CINCINNATI

Florida's lineup is balanced but worn out. The Bowties are rested, but does that mean rusty? On paper the Bowties have a Superior Lineup with Sluggers Hernandez and Sheets and Hall of Famer Harding in the core of the order they have a hard time missing the ball. Florida's Punto Mahay and Duran are having a great beginning to the playoffs though

FIELDING

FLORIDA

Defensively both teams have their holes. Florida is better suited with his starters though; Spence's SS days are probably behind him in Cincinnati so this might be a key opportunity for Florida to sneak in some runs.

BULLPEN

FLORIDA

Mason is Florida's go to guy in the bullpen saving all 3 of their playoff games in the division series. The rest of the Bullpen combined for 6.2 scoreless innings. To say they are hot might be an understatement. Cincy's pen has been hit or miss all season. With a tandem rotation they are not truly counted on, but they can be lit if they do get on the mound. Florida's biggest goal will be to work the counts and stretch the starters to get to these guys.

BENCH

CINCINNATI

Florida has a few clutch hitters but no one you could depend on in the field. Cincinnati mixes a defensive specialist, a slugger and a base runner to give them a solid bench all around.

EXPERIENCE

CINCINNATI

Cincinnati has only had 1 losing record in his tenure as GM. The Bowties are a playoff contender each season and have the more experienced starting lineup.

INTANGABLES

FLORIDA

Florida seems to relish its role as spoiler and have had Cincinnati's number all season long. They are so driven the ratings and stats might not matter to them. Taking the old Blue Brothers Mantra " We are on a mission from GOD"

Prediction Cincinnati in 5

Next up Winner of NY/ PHILADELPHIA

1 New York vs. 5 Philadelphia

Head to Head record 5-5 EVEN

ADVANTAGE

NOTE

STARTING PITCHING

NEW YORK

Burro's are Dominant. They can punch almost anyone's card. All starters have a sub-4 era and have a combined .232 BAA. Philly's starters struggle at times but they can also throw a gem.

HITTING

NEW YORK

The Burro's are better groomed hitters who guard the plate better and are more selective with their pitches. The Balboas are free swingers who can bomb the best of them. Both teams feature some speed, but don't count on it to drive the game.

FIELDING

NEW YORK

The Burros are the best fielding team in the League. Their holes are small and their range is good. Philadelphia has been struggling around the infield, but is fundamentally strong

BULLPEN

PHILADELPHIA

Philly's Bullpen has the experience and the knack for getting the job down. New York's pen is smooth, but is more likely to crack than the hardened Balboa.

BENCH

NEW YORK

New York has a bench which features power and defense; They have no real speed coming off their bench though. Philly has a little of everything on its bench, but overall a team would be more comfortable looking to NY's Bench

EXPERIENCE

NEW YORK

Both GM's have World Series rings. New York though is a perennial playoff contender. Philadelphia is just a step behind. Edge goes to the players with experience.

INTANGABLES

New York as struggled at times and like the Atlanta Braves Winning might be to routine. Philly could take advantage of their underdog Status and Rock the boat and pull off the upset.

Prediction: NEW YORK in 5

Next up Winner Florida Vs Cincinnati

1 Madison vs. 5 New York

Head to Head record 9-1 Madison Advantage

ADVANTAGE

NOTE

STARTING PITCHING

NEW YORK

All Bombers starters have a sub-4 era and control the games they are in. Madison's rotation give up many hits and have the job of just keeping the game close until the hitting takes over.

HITTING

MADISON

Both lineups feature veteran hitters who are patient and get the good swings. Both lineups feature a top 5 hitter and both lineups feature perennial all-stars. The major difference is base running the Bombers Dye is their only real base threat. Madison has 4 guys who swipe bases. Overall if this turns into a slugfest New York could be in trouble

FIELDING

NEW YORK

SS for the Massa's has been an issue all season long, but it is their only major soft spot. New York has shown some issues around the infield but overall is a stronger unit.

BULLPEN

MADISON

Ellis Watson contended for the Cy Young as a closer in S8 and is even more dominant in S9. He will be a tough final inning for the Bombers to face. To get to him Hermanson has also been lights out. New York's best chance is to get to the starters and not have to face these guys. The Bombers pen has been adequate all season but is prone to give up hits.

BENCH

MADISON

Madison has a more complete bench feature a little of the keys Speed/Fielding/Hitting. New York has a very heavy swinging lineup. If it doesn't come to a walk off Madison is in good shape.

EXPERIENCE

MADISON

Massa's are 2 time defending Champions. New York has never truly been in a rebuild. They are perennial Post season players.

INTANGABLES

MADISON

Madison has absolutely owned New York for the past 4 seasons. If there is any time to end this it is now for the Bombers. Madison does a lot of things very well, but will be coming off sitting while New York comes off a thrilling 13 inning affair for their playoff lives. Will this adrenaline be a factor?

Prediction: Madison in 5

Next up Winner Monterrey Vs Oklahoma City

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