Sunday, March 13, 2011

DRAFT REVIEW S19 AL EAST

Chicago Wolves

Round

Pick

Player

Pos

Age

Back-
ground

Bonus

SUMMARY

1

15

Tony Segui

P

21

COL

$2,690K

Strikeout velocity with control and 2 plus pitches. His splits project to be ML average, but he will struggle to find a full-time role with his low stamina. His makeup also will make his big league dreams short lived.

3

104

Daiki Suzuki

P

22

COL

---

NOT SCOUTED. Looking for 2.3M as a 3rd rounder.

4

136

Jackson Becker

CF

22

COL

$350K

Below average hitter with plus speed and solid defense. At 22 unless he DITR's he will be a career minor leaguer. His best position might be at RF or LF.

5

168

Richie File

RP

22

COL

$250K

3 pitch reliever with solid velocity and control. He lacks even below average splits though and will not be anything more than a minor league stopgap.

GRADE: The Wolves again went after a number of pitcher options, but did not get anyone that will have huge ML implications. Segui will be a tough sell to make his projections and probable a huge reach in the mid-1st round.

SUMMARY: C-

New York Knights

Round

Pick

Player

Pos

Age

Back-
ground

Bonus

SUMMARY

1

5

Adrian Sexson

P

18

HS

$3,630K

For a top 5 guy Sexton is considered weak against left. He does have elite control and velocity to make up for his struggles against left handers. 2 top rank pitches also don't hurt his value, but his difficulties against left handers will frustrate Knight fans.

1

40

Dwight Colbrunn

SS

20

JC

$720K

Dwight has top speed and base running, but doesn't seem to do enough anywhere else to prove his value outside being an occasional role player in the majors. Look for him to be a solid backup option at 3B if he makes it out of minor league hell.

3

94

Ozzie Quinn

RP

18

HS

---

Oz's value dropped when reports out of Edmunds showed he was leaning toward college. If the Knights can convince him to come to the big city, they will be looking at a 3 pitch reliever with average control and above average splits. Scouts do note that his arm tires easily and it does take a long period of time to recover.

4

126

Groucho Smith

SS

22

COL

$350K

Below average with the glove at short but the rest of the skills are there on defense. Grocho has the speed to be a ML factor, but lacks a useful bat.

5

158

Bob Buckley

P

18

HS

---

Poor right/left splits will condemn an otherwise solid pitching prospect. His control and stamina will make him a great asset in the minors chewing up innings. If he DITR's his splits he would be a good ML factor, until then AAA will be his max.


SUMMARY: Sexton is a frustrating top 5 pick; he is loaded with talent, but lacks the type of splits which teams come to expect with a top pitcher. He will have an ML career ahead of him, but protecting him against left handed hitting will be a challenge and could lead to some short outings. He is going to need to score close to his projections for him to make huge projections.
GRADE: B+

Cleveland Spyders

Round

Pick

Player

Pos

Age

Back-
ground

SUMMARY

1

32

Edge Robbins

SP

21

COL

Edge could turn out to be a nice steal with the 32nd pick. He has great control and splits with good projected stamina/durability for a starter. At 22 he is already developed and has a nice start on others his age. His pitch selection is solid yet unspectacular. He will be a fine 4 or 5 guy for a nice lineup.

1

33

Garland Woods

SP

21

COL

Great stamina and velocity will light opponents up in the minor leagues. His splits will not translate well to the big boys even with his pinpoint control. Someone desperate might give him the ball for a few ML innings, but don't expect huge success here.

1

38

Abdul Hodges

P

21

COL

NOT SCOUTED

1

51

Stan Scott

RP

18

HS

Average reliever with 2 plus pitches. His durability is below average and his left hand split is poor. He will struggle to break into the ML with his flaws.

1

56

Ren Kwon

P

18

HS

NOT SCOUTED

2

88

Renyel Guerrero

LF

18

HS

NOT SCOUTED

3

120

Teddy Koch

2B

18

HS

Great speed and base running. With great contact. He lacks any type of power and struggles heavily versus left handed pitching. He could be a great pinch runner and occasional role player.

4

152

Manny Gates

LF

18

HS

NOY SCOUTED

5

184

Will Drese

RF

20

JC

Quality 5th rounder with good power top speed and solid base running. He has above average splits. He does like an average batting eye and might struggle to top 110 games a season.

SUMMARY: After 2 years without a #1 pick, Cleveland had 5 picks this season. All of them at the end of the 1st round. Edge is a great sleeper who slipped because of fear his pitches would not convert well into the ML from college. Edge will be looking to prove his critics wrong. The rest of the draft for Cleveland is either an unknown or a never going to be anything

GRADE: C-


Durham Bulls

Round

Pick

Player

Pos

Age

Back-
ground

Bonus

SUMMARY

1

1

Raymond Witt

CF

18

HS

$4,000K

As the #1 overall pick, I hate this selection. Witt could be a proven ML'er with solid fielding and a solid bat. He is projected to be a 25HR guy with 10 steals a season and a .280-.295 batting average. He should also draw a good amount of walks. He projects to be a solid #2 man in almost any lineup, but he is not a slam dunk all-star year after year.

2

57

Mo Franco

SP

20

JC

$550K

Average pitch selection and left/right splits. Projects to be a bottom ML tier pitcher. He could hit his projections and fill out the lineup. At BFIT his sophomore year he showed great command but lacked any strikeout punch. He doesn't project to have much power on his arm.

2

62

John Murata

CF

21

COL

---

NOT SCOUTED

3

90

Gus Raines

2B

20

JC

$425K

Good contact hitter with the speed and base running to take advantage. He would be more valuable if he had

4

122

Achilles Allen

SP

20

JC

$350K

Great sleeper in the 4th round. He isn't a barn burner, but he's a guy who has good stamina and control to ride along with 3 plus pitches. He struggles more than you want against left handers, but his high velocity and a pension for ground balls might mask that fault some. Someone might give him a shot which is all you can ask when drafted in the 4th round

5

154

Bo Headley

SP

18

HS

$250K

Average pitch selection with poor splits and solid control will limit his action to just the minors, but he should chow on a lot of innings and be useful to keep the better prospects from wearing out

SUMMARY: Durham saw there man in Witt and went after him. Witt is far from the best player in this season's draft. At 18 he has a lot of growing to do, but he is fairly developed and should make it close to his projections. While not an all-star I would still expect him to be an impact player on the field. Franco isn't going to be a long term solution, but he could be a great short term plug if Durham needs one. The draft on a whole was one that avoided risk and just filled needs. I love Allen in the 4th round and his progress should be followed to see where he ends up in 4 years.
GRADE: B

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